Nicolas Sarkozy's Mediterranean
Union
Nicolas Sarkozy is determined to make the Mediterranean
Union one of the great achievements of his Presidency. It remains to be seen whether the injection of his redoubtable political
will can make the ambitious project a reality.
President Nicolas Sarkozy of France
believes passionately in a Mediterranean Union, and is putting a great deal of energy -- and urgency -- into bringing it to
birth.
Heads of state and government of 43 potential member states have been invited to attend
a summit meeting on 13 July, when they are expected to issue a ringing declaration formally launching the Union.
For extra solemnity, the summit will be held in the grandiose setting of the Grand Palais, a vast ironwork
and glass structure, built in the heart of Paris for the Universal Exhibition of 1900.
In
the meantime, planning for the launch is in the hands of a high-powered French team, led by Ambassador Alain Leroy, which
Sarkozy has housed under his direct supervision at 23 Avenue Marigny, a former Rothschild mansion just across the street from
the Elysée Palace.
What exactly is the proposed Mediterranean Union about, and why
the urgency?
The Mediterranean lies at the centre of Sarkozy’s geo-political vision. "The Mediterrean,"
he likes to say, "is not our past but our future," in the sense that he believes that many of Europe’s most
acute problems can be solved only in close coordination with the countries on the other side of the sea. This vision has led
him to undertake several state visits to North Africa.
The problems he has in mind are familiar
ones which have been much debated: terrorism; illegal immigration; pollution of the sea affecting tourism and fisheries; scarcity
of fresh water; rampant unemployment and over-population in the South; desertification which is spreading to countries like
Spain, Italy and Greece; and a widening of the already wide gap in personal incomes between North and South.
In other
words, Europe’s security and prosperity can only be assured if the countries bordering the Mediterranean also enjoy
security and prosperity -- but this requires a major joint initiative by both North and South. Behind this thinking is a sense
that since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Western Europe has tended to neglect its southern flank while devoting much aid
and attention to the countries of Central and Eastern Europe.
Sarkozy’s Mediterranean
Union project faced early objections from German Chancellor Angela Merkel. She feared that he was planning to include only
France, Spain and Italy in the proposed Mediterranean Union, excluding all other European Union member states. This problem
was resolved when it was agreed that all 27 members of the EU would be members of the Union pour la Mediterranée (UPM).
They will be joined by the countries bordering the Mediterranean, as well as by Jordan and Mauritania -- 43 countries in all.
Turkey was alarmed because Sarkozy’s plan was first billed as a device to keep Turkey out of the EU by offering
it the alternative of membership of the UPM. Turkish anxieties have since been partially allayed by its proposed participation
in some of the major economic projects Sarkozy hopes to initiate.
More than a decade ago,
the Barcelona Process was launched in 1995, precisely in the hope that European money would help resolve political conflicts
among the states bordering the Mediterranean, leading to economic development -- and thus to preventing the import into Western
Europe of terrorism and unwanted migrants.
But the Barcelona Process has been a failure --
or at least only a very partial success. It was launched at a time of high expectations. The Madrid Conference of 1991 and
the Oslo Accords of 1993 seemed to open the way to a settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict. But these expectations were
soon disappointed.
The assassination of Israel’s Prime Minister Yitzak Rabin by a Jewish fanatic in November
1995 put an end to peace-making. It was followed instead by a period of heightened Arab-Israeli tension and violence. This
in turn has contributed to the rise of militant Islamic movements, to the terrorist attacks on America of 11 September 2001,
to neo-colonial wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and to a dangerous, and still un-bridged, rift between the West and the Arab
and Islamic world. Against these odds, the Barcelona Process could make little headway.
One
should add that another reason the Process failed was because it was undermined by the conflict between Morocco and Algeria
over the Western Sahara, which prevented the creation of a single market in North Africa and thus discouraged inward investment
into the region.
Over time, the Barcelona Process came to be seen as a doomed paternalistic
project, launched by European governments for their own selfish purposes, with little input from countries in the east and
south of the Mediterranean.
Sarkozy’s strategy today is to reverse the objectives. Instead of pressing for the
resolution of political conflicts as a preliminary to economic development, his approach is to start with major economic projects
in the belief that they will, in time, yield political dividends.
Among the projects now being
discussed on both sides of the Mediterranean is a scheme to clean up -- or "de-pollute" -- the sea by 2020, with
a first-stage investment of $2 billion. Another scheme, dear to Egypt, is to create a high-speed shipping route between Alexandria
and Tangiers -- a sort of maritime motorway. There are plans to harness solar energy for the Mediterranean region, and to
manage scarce water resources more efficiently, so as to provide drinking water for all and a better use of wastewater for
irrigation.
The French are particularly keen on creating a unified Mediterranean scientific
and university space, in which professional training will be provided for managers, scientists and technicians, so as to improve
agriculture and fisheries, and check the relentless advance of desertification. Plans are also being prepared for a Mediterranean
civil protection centre, for an agency to promote small and medium sized industries, for a possible Mediterranean bank, and
much else besides.
Unlike the Barcelona Process, the idea this time is fully to involve the populations of the southern
and eastern Mediterranean, to seek the participation of private sector interests and civil society associations, as well as
financing not only from European governments and institutions, but also from the oil-rich countries of the Gulf Cooperation
Council.
The idea is that the Mediterranean lies at the centre of a vast region extending from Africa to the Gulf.
The calculation is that a healthy and prosperous Mediterranean will reinforce the position of Europe in the world and allow
Europe to play a greater role in advancing the cause of peace in the Middle East.
"The objective of the Mediterranean
Union is political," Ambassador Leroy says, "but it is driven by economics. We cannot wait for conflicts to be resolved
before launching our projects. But the Union will launch a process which will, it is hoped, help solve the political conflicts."
He adds that the great project of the European Union -- 27 member states and a combined population of 495 million -- started
with the modest Coal and Steel Community.
Nicolas Sarkozy is determined to make the Mediterranean Union one of the
great achievements of his Presidency. It remains to be seen whether the injection of his redoubtable political will can make
the ambitious project a reality.